Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
Internacional3 - 2Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Fluminense
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Internacional | Draw | Gremio |
41.35% ( 0.22) | 27.52% ( 0.09) | 31.13% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.83% ( -0.41) | 57.17% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.97% ( -0.33) | 78.03% ( 0.33) |
Internacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( -0.07) | 27.21% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.37% ( -0.09) | 62.62% ( 0.09) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.43) | 33.6% ( 0.44) |