Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 2Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Gremio 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
While Gremio boast the third-best home record in Serie A - winning 10 games from 13 so far - Athletico have just three away wins to their name in this year's Brasileiro. Therefore, the hosts can get back to winning ways after their derby defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
53.71% ( 0.15) | 24.81% ( -0.18) | 21.47% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% ( 0.7) | 53.24% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( 0.6) | 74.8% ( -0.6) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.34) | 19.78% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.55) | 51.84% ( -0.55) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0.43) | 39.68% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.64% ( 0.39) | 76.36% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 53.71%
Athletico Paranaense 21.47%
Draw 24.81%
| Gremio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.47% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Athletico PR
Gremio
88.6%Draw
11.4%Athletico Paranaense
0.0%35
Head to Head
Form Guide
