Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 26, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR4 - 2Gremio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Gremio |
| 47.25% | 28.8% | 23.95% |
| Both teams to score 40.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.35% | 64.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.35% | 83.65% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.8% | 63.2% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% | 43.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 47.24%
Gremio 23.95%
Draw 28.79%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 15.56% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.95% |
How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
62.5%Draw
25.0%Gremio
12.5%8
Head to Head
Form Guide
