MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:49:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))

Union SG
1 - 0
Charleroi

Fuseini (90+3' pen.)
Moris (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (34'), Keita (46'), Camara (48'), Petris (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Charleroi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Slavia Prague
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Gent
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 2-2 Charleroi

Union SG's start to this campaign has been far from smooth, but their attacking quality is still evident despite a shaky defence, and this could help them secure something from this match. Charleroi have been solid in recent weeks, but their record against the hosts casts doubt on their ability to win here, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.

Result
Union SGDrawCharleroi
53.7% (-3.619 -3.62) 23.1% (0.834 0.83) 23.2% (2.781 2.78)
Both teams to score 55.92% (1.156 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (-0.337 -0.34)44.33% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.329 -0.33)66.7% (0.327 0.33)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-1.35 -1.35)16.45% (1.348 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-2.49 -2.49)46.15% (2.488 2.49)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (2.425 2.43)33.05% (-2.428 -2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (2.598 2.6)69.65% (-2.6 -2.6)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 53.7%
    Charleroi 23.2%
    Draw 23.09%
Union SGDrawCharleroi
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.717 -0.72)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.467 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.575 0.58)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.455 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.341 0.34)
2-3 @ 2% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Union SG vs Charleroi

Union SG
43.5%
Draw
43.5%
Charleroi
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 17
Charleroi
1-3
Union SG
Guiagon (90+2')
Bager (32'), Badji (59'), Andreou (62')
El Amine Amoura (15', 65'), Terho (50')
Machida (38'), Thierry Lazare (40')
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Union SG
3-1
Charleroi
Sykes (17', 45+4'), Burgess (45')
Burgess (64')
Guiagon (28')
Marcq (55'), Ilaimaharitra (86')
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Jul 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Union SG
1-0
Charleroi
Sykes (56')
Nieuwkoop (20'), Thierry Lazare (45')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Charleroi
0-3
Union SG

Gholizadeh (38'), Van Cleemput (67'), Issouf Bayo (73')
Burgess (4'), Thierry Lazare (38'), Millan (90+1')
Bager (26'), Pirard (44'), Undav (84'), Puertas (87')
Vanzeir (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dender6321128411
2Anderlecht532073411
3Leuven624084410
4Club BruggeBrugge631296310
5Westerlo63121311210
6Genk531198110
7Union SGUnion SG62317529
8CharleroiCharleroi63038809
9MechelenMechelen6222101008
10Standard Liege622223-18
11Royal AntwerpAntwerp62139637
12GentGent52127527
13KortrijkKortrijk621358-37
14Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge5113610-44
15Sint-Truiden6033615-93
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA6015614-81


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