Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.