Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.