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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Veliz (44')
Infantino (26'), Mac Allister (77'), Veliz (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lema (34'), Sforza (41'), Mendez (46'), Ditta (70'), Perez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Racing
Saturday, July 16 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Rosario Central 1-1 Newell's Old Boys

 Neither team will want to come away from this fiercely-contested derby on the losing side, particularly the hosts who are precariously positioned just above the bottom three. While Newell's Old Boys will be regarded as the slight favourites given their current form, Rosario have fared better in recent meetings against them, and we expect the hosts to claim a hard-fought point at the Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
49.85% (0.784 0.78) 27.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 23.08% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 44.11% (-0.794 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.616 -0.62)59.82% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.472 -0.47)80.1% (0.477 0.48)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.094000000000008 0.09)24.17% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (0.131 0.13)58.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17% (-1.117 -1.12)41.83% (1.12 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72% (-0.987 -0.99)78.28% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 49.85%
    Newell's Old Boys 23.08%
    Draw 27.06%
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.284 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Rosario vs Newell's OB

Rosario Central
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newell's Old Boys
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Rosario
0-1
Newell's OB

Ferreyra (72'), Servio (73')
Manuel Garcia (51')
Luciano (12'), Perez (36'), Sanguinetti (57'), Fernandez (61'), Campagnaro (76')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Newell's OB
1-1
Rosario
Castro (60')
Sforza (21'), Lema (44'), Perez (45+1')
Martinez (53')
Almada (36'), Martinez (45+3'), Vecchio (76'), Ojeda (78')
May 3, 2021 1am
Rosario
3-0
Newell's OB
Ruben (17'), Ferreyra (61'), Martinez (80')
Ferreyra (25'), Ojeda (25'), Vecchio (53')

Rodriguez (25'), Perez (31'), Lema (43'), Fernandez (65')
Sep 15, 2019 7.30pm
Rosario
1-1
Newell's OB
Riano (68')
Lema (66')
Rodriguez (34'), Lema (60'), Gabrielli (74')
Feb 10, 2019 8.10pm
Newell's OB
0-0
Rosario

Formica (80'), Rodriguez (87')

Parot (38'), Camacho (59'), Rinaudo (93')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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