Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
38.74% ( -0.05) | 23.02% ( -0.01) | 38.24% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 65.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.07% ( 0.02) | 35.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.98% ( 0.02) | 58.02% ( -0.02) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( -0.01) | 19.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( -0.02) | 50.7% ( 0.02) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( 0.03) | 19.31% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% ( 0.05) | 51.07% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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