World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
St Lucia2 - 2Aruba
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Lucia and Aruba.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aruba win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Aruba |
38.49% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( 0.05) | 35.15% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
