World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 12, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Panamericano, San Cristobal

Dominican Rep.
4 - 0
British Virgin I.

Leonardo Nunez Mata (2', 31'), Romero (14' pen., 90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Dominican Republic and British Virgin Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

British Virgin Islands

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: British Virgin I. 0-3 Guatemala
Saturday, June 8 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican Republic	Draw	British Virgin Islands
82.91% ( 0.28)	11.17% ( -0.09)	5.91% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.05% (

-0.5)

27.95% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.32% (

-0.62)

48.68% (

0.62)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.09% (

-0.05)

4.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.3% (

-0.14)

19.7% (

0.13)

British Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.37% (

-1.01)

48.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.31% (

-0.73)

83.68% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic 82.91%

British Virgin Islands 5.91%

Draw 11.17%

Dominican Republic	Draw	British Virgin Islands
3-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 82.91%	1-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.17%	1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 5.91%