World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Afghanistan1 - 0Mongolia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Afghanistan and Mongolia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Philippines 2-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Georgia 6-1 Mongolia
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Afghanistan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Afghanistan | Draw | Mongolia |
57.45% ( 2.1) | 22.76% ( -1.17) | 19.79% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
