World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 25, 2021 at 1pm UK

Tajikistan
3 - 0
Mongolia

Dzhalilov (3'), Dzhalilov (52'), Shahrom (87')
Hanonov (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galt (54')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Tajikistan and Mongolia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Mongolia had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Mongolia win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Mongolia
46.8%	25.47%	27.73%

Both teams to score 52.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32%

50.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41%

72.58%

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34%

21.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21%

54.78%

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26%

32.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7%

69.29%

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 46.8%

Mongolia 27.73%

Draw 25.47%

Tajikistan	Draw	Mongolia
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.73%