World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg
Oct 17, 2023 at 8am UK
Football Centre MFF
Mongolia0 - 1Afghanistan
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Mongolia and Afghanistan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Afghanistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mongolia | Draw | Afghanistan |
12.44% ( -0.11) | 19.35% ( -0.29) | 68.21% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
