MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 01:42:34| >> :120:3658:3658:
Zambia national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 8am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
Japan national football team

Zambia Women
0 - 5
Japan Women


Musonda (51')
Musonda (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miyazawa (43', 62'), Tanaka (55'), Endo (71'), Ueki (90+11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Zambia Women and Japan Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brazil Women 1-0 Zambia Women
Tuesday, July 27 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Canada Women 0-3 Japan Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup

We said: Zambia Women 2-2 Japan Women

Although Zambia will go into Saturday's encounter as underdogs, we think that they possess enough quality in the final third to trouble Japan, and as a result, we believe that the two nations will begin the tournament with an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Zambia WomenDrawJapan Women
22.87% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 24.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 52.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.69% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.109 0.11)49.74% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.096 0.1)71.75% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Zambia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (0.044000000000004 0.04)36.34% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.13% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (0.058999999999997 0.06)18.78% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (0.101 0.1)50.19% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Zambia Women 22.87%
    Japan Women 52.82%
    Draw 24.29%
Zambia WomenDrawJapan Women
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.87%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.39% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.32% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Zambia Women vs Japan Women

Zambia Women
20.9%
Draw
18.6%
Japan Women
60.5%
43
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