We say: Spain Women 2-1 Netherlands Women
The first quarter-final tie looks set to be a close-fought affair, and both teams will be looking for their key players to make a difference.
Bonmati has been one of the standout individuals in the Spain squad, and if she can produce another solid performance on Friday, we think that she could help her country get over the line against the Netherlands.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 1-2 (4.26%).