MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:08:34| >> :600:59997651:59997651:
Denmark national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Spain national football team

Denmark Women
0 - 1
Spain Women


Larsen (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cardona (90')
Ouahabi (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's European Championship clash between Denmark Women and Spain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Denmark Women 1-0 Finland Women
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Germany Women 2-0 Spain Women
Tuesday, July 12 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Denmark Women 1-2 Spain Women

With so much to play for, we expect Saturday's game to be a cagey contest, but we think Spain have enough quality in their squad to edge out Denmark in the final group game to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark Women win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Denmark WomenDrawSpain Women
39.33% (-0.188 -0.19) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 36.83% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 62.09% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (0.192 0.19)40.05% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.197 0.2)62.41% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Denmark Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.2 0.2)21.81% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.304 0.3)55.02% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Denmark Women 39.33%
    Spain Women 36.83%
    Draw 23.82%
Denmark WomenDrawSpain Women
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Denmark Women vs Spain Women

Denmark Women
26.7%
Draw
4.4%
Spain Women
68.9%
45
rhs 2.0
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