MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:04:55| >> :600:59997432:59997432:
Spain national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadium mk

Spain Women
4 - 1
Finland Women

Paredes (26'), Bonmati (41'), Garcia (75'), Caldentey (90+5' pen.)
Paredes (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sallstrom (1')
Alanen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's European Championship clash between Spain Women and Finland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: England Women 0-1 Spain Women
Wednesday, March 11 at 9.15pm in SheBelieves Cup

We said: Spain Women 3-0 Finland Women

Although Spain may be without Hermoso and Putellas, we think that they will prove too strong for Finland on Friday to extend their unbeaten run to 24 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Finland Women had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Finland Women win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Spain WomenDrawFinland Women
58.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.43%16.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.59% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)78.07% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Finland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.85% (0.038999999999994 0.04)47.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.4% (0.029999999999998 0.03)82.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 58.57%
    Finland Women 16.98%
    Draw 24.43%
Spain WomenDrawFinland Women
1-0 @ 15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.57%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 16.98%

How you voted: Spain Women vs Finland

Spain Women
80.0%
Draw
8.6%
Finland Women
11.4%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Spain Women
rhs 2.0
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