MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 01:57:34| >> :120:4558:4558:
Netherlands national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 6, 2023 at 3am UK
Allianz Stadium
South Africa national football team

N'lands Women
2 - 0
S. Africa Women

Roord (9'), Beerensteyn (68')
van de Donk (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Netherlands Women and South Africa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Vietnam Women 0-7 N'lands Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: S. Africa Women 3-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We said: Netherlands Women 3-1 South Africa Women

The Netherlands will go into the last-16 tie as heavy favourites, and while we expect South Africa to cause their opponents one or two problems, we think that the Dutch will have the extra-quality required to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 82.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 5.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands Women.

Result
Netherlands WomenDrawSouth Africa Women
82.89% (0.17700000000001 0.18) 11.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 5.27% (-0.1911 -0.19)
Both teams to score 40.76% (-1.485 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (-1.112 -1.11)35.28% (1.11 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (-1.246 -1.25)57.3% (1.244 1.24)
Netherlands Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.68% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)6.31% (0.1869 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.24% (-0.51899999999999 -0.52)23.76% (0.516 0.52)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.5% (-1.495 -1.5)56.49% (1.491 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.24% (-0.873 -0.87)88.75% (0.872 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands Women 82.89%
    South Africa Women 5.27%
    Draw 11.84%
Netherlands WomenDrawSouth Africa Women
2-0 @ 13.61% (0.47 0.47)
3-0 @ 12.53% (0.31 0.31)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.442 0.44)
4-0 @ 8.65% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 4.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 82.89%
1-1 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.22% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 11.84%
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 5.27%

How you voted: 1st Group E vs 2nd Group G

1st Group E
69.2%
Draw
12.8%
2nd Group G
17.9%
39
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