European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rasundastadion
Sweden U21s3 - 0Italy U21s
Almqvist (12'), Karlsson (29'), Henriksson (51')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sweden Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 28.03% | 24.38% | 47.59% |
| Both teams to score 56.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
