MX23RW : Thursday, August 29 23:28:23| >> :60:351:351:
European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Inver Park

N. Ireland U19s
0 - 3
Italy U19s


McClure (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zeroli (15'), Camarda (45+2', 48')
Ciammaglichella (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Northern Ireland Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Monday, July 15 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Italy U19s 2-1 Norway U19s
Monday, July 15 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

We said: Northern Ireland Under-19s 0-2 Italy Under-19s

As Northern Ireland lack a real threat and tend to concede multiple goals against higher-ranked nations, a confident Italy side will surely win on Thursday and book their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 85.34%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Northern Ireland Under-19s had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 0-4 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Northern Ireland Under-19s win it was 1-0 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Italy Under-19s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-19s.

Result
Northern Ireland Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
4.55% (0.729 0.73) 10.11% (0.214 0.21) 85.34% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94)
Both teams to score 43.11% (5.84 5.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.49% (3.527 3.53)29.51% (-3.525 -3.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.4% (4.168 4.17)50.6% (-4.164 -4.16)
Northern Ireland Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.28% (5.945 5.95)54.72% (-5.942 -5.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.28% (3.274 3.27)87.71% (-3.272 -3.27)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.22% (0.46199999999999 0.46)4.78% (-0.4581 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.68% (1.372 1.37)19.32% (-1.368 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland Under-19s 4.55%
    Italy Under-19s 85.32%
    Draw 10.11%
Northern Ireland Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
1-0 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 1.45% (0.275 0.28)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 4.55%
1-1 @ 4.8% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.62% (-0.562 -0.56)
2-2 @ 2.2% (0.472 0.47)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 10.11%
0-3 @ 12.25% (-1.33 -1.33)
0-2 @ 12.09% (-1.72 -1.72)
0-4 @ 9.32% (-0.693 -0.69)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-1.416 -1.42)
1-3 @ 7.39% (0.599 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.384 0.38)
0-5 @ 5.67% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-4 @ 5.62% (0.61 0.61)
1-5 @ 3.42% (0.463 0.46)
0-6 @ 2.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.53 0.53)
1-6 @ 1.73% (0.279 0.28)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.442 0.44)
0-7 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.292 0.29)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 85.32%

How you voted: N. Ireland U19s vs Italy U19s

Northern Ireland Under-19s
7.1%
Draw
7.1%
Italy Under-19s
85.7%
14
rhs 2.0
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