We said: Spain Under-19s 2-0 Italy Under-19s
Taking into account Spain's route through both qualifying and the group stage, La Rojita pose the most attacking threat and boast a more solid defence than their semi-final opponents. While Italy's squad features some talented stars of the future, they are collectively vulnerable at the back.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.