MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 11:42:02| >> :600:43267429:43267429:
European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium

Italy U19s
1 - 1
Poland U19s

Hasa (34')
Faticanti (20'), Missori (30'), Ndour (85'), Turco (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Strzalek (8')
Majchrzak (23'), Lewicki (52')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-19s and Poland Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-1 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Malta U19s 0-2 Poland U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-19s win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-19sDrawPoland Under-19s
17.07% (-25.445 -25.45) 20.34% (-3.447 -3.45) 62.58% (28.889 28.89)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-6.471 -6.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.116 -0.12)40.58% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.121 -0.12)62.96% (0.118 0.12)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (-17.779 -17.78)37.1% (17.776 17.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (-22.799 -22.8)73.88% (22.796 22.8)
Poland Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (11.283 11.28)12.4% (-11.284 -11.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (19.51 19.51)38.29% (-19.512 -19.51)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-19s 17.07%
    Poland Under-19s 62.58%
    Draw 20.34%
Italy Under-19sDrawPoland Under-19s
2-1 @ 4.72% (-4.186 -4.19)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-2.962 -2.96)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-3.922 -3.92)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-1.886 -1.89)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-3.321 -3.32)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 17.07%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-1.307 -1.31)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-1.487 -1.49)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.554 -0.55)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.34%
0-2 @ 10.02% (5.273 5.27)
1-2 @ 9.94% (2.135 2.14)
0-1 @ 9.6% (3.012 3.01)
0-3 @ 6.97% (4.695 4.7)
1-3 @ 6.92% (3.168 3.17)
0-4 @ 3.64% (2.818 2.82)
1-4 @ 3.61% (2.259 2.26)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.349 0.35)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.68 0.68)
0-5 @ 1.52% (1.283 1.28)
1-5 @ 1.51% (1.117 1.12)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.58%

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