European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Malta U19s0 - 4Italy U19s
Micallef (32'), Mendes (33')
Micallef (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Malta Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malta U19s 2-2 Azerbaijan U19s
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England U19s 2-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 28 at 4pm in European Under-19s Championship
Tuesday, June 28 at 4pm in European Under-19s Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
9.54% ( 0.54) | 15.3% ( 0.62) | 75.16% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
