Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional6 - 1Mirandela
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Nacional and Mirandela.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Mirandela had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Mirandela win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Mirandela |
51.65% ( 0.05) | 24.16% ( -0) | 24.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
