Both teams have struggled for goals so far, and we are anticipating a low-scoring affair here. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to secure maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.

Result
Samsunspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
58.66% ( 0.71)	21.98% ( -0.19)	19.35% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

0.12)

44.25% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

0.12)

66.62% (

-0.12)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

0.27)

14.76% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57% (

0.52)

43% (

-0.52)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27% (

-0.47)

36.72% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

-0.48)

73.51% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Samsunspor 58.66%

Fatih Karagumruk 19.35%

Draw 21.98%

Samsunspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.35%