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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
4 - 2
Kasimpasa

Mouandilmadji (11', 22'), Kilinc (60'), Ntcham (75')
Ntcham (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ozcan (90+1'), da Costa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-3 Samsunspor
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 4-2 Gaziantep
Sunday, December 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Kasimpasa

Samsunspor looks like a team that have found their groove back in recent games and they could cause Kasimpasa some problems this weekend. The visitors have struggled on their recent trips and this could play a part in the final result on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKasimpasa
58.2% (0.128 0.13) 21.83% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 19.97% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)42.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.060000000000002 0.06)65.09% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.060999999999993 0.06)14.38% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.117 0.12)42.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)35.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.94% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 58.2%
    Kasimpasa 19.97%
    Draw 21.83%
SamsunsporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa

Samsunspor
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Kasimpasa
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
12KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16Bodrumspor133281017-711
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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