Karagumruk's relegation could be a factor in this match, despite Samsunspor's struggles on the road. The hosts have nothing left to fight for and might not be up for it. However, we expect a close, low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Samsunspor
43.4% ( -0.18)	24.99% ( 0.05)	31.61% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.5% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

-0.15)

46.74% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31% (

-0.14)

69% (

0.14)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.14)

21.55% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-0.22)

54.63% (

0.23)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

0.01)

27.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

0.01)

63.61% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 43.4%

Samsunspor 31.61%

Draw 24.99%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Samsunspor
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.61%