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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 2
Karagumruk

Coly (85')
Vorobjovas (47'), Loshaj (90+8'), Coly (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yalcin (86'), Feghouli (90+7' pen.)
Gunter (22'), Mor (64'), Biraschi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Fatih Karagumruk have dominated recent meetings, but Istanbulspor seem to be finally free from the mental shackles that held them following their last win. Both teams are shaky defensively, but we think that the home side could edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
17.02% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 21.72% (-0.49 -0.49) 61.25% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 50.39% (1.372 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (1.917 1.92)46.78% (-1.918 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (1.768 1.77)69.04% (-1.768 -1.77)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (1.047 1.05)40.88% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (0.924 0.92)77.45% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.825 0.83)14.77% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (1.556 1.56)43.02% (-1.557 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 17.02%
    Fatih Karagumruk 61.24%
    Draw 21.72%
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.61 -0.61)
0-2 @ 11.04% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.3% (0.22 0.22)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.176 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.12 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.29% (0.081 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.24%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Karagumruk
3-0
Istanbulspor
Jensen (45' og.), Mendes (49'), Keles (53')
Ceccherini (35'), Yalcin (56'), Dresevic (83')

Yesil (41')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Karagumruk
1-2
Istanbulspor
Diagne (37')
Rroca (69'), Topalli (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray17152049202947
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor17103431181333
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
6BesiktasBesiktas177642619727
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul177552823526
8GaziantepGaziantep176472426-222
9KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor176381726-921
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor176382132-1121
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor174762524119
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor173771733-1616
17Bodrumspor1743101323-1015
18Hatayspor1716101529-149
19Adana Demirspor1722131537-225


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