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Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
2 - 1
Modena

Ghiringhelli (7'), Favilli (16')
Di Tacchio (28'), Agazzi (33'), Iannarilli (85'), Paghera (87'), Corrado (88'), Paghera (88'), Mantovani (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Falcinelli (51' pen.)
Falcinelli (30')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reggina 2-1 Ternana
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-0 Cosenza
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawModena
44.25% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 29.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.69% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.18% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)33.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.7% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 44.25%
    Modena 29.32%
    Draw 26.42%
TernanaDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.32%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Modena
4-1
Ternana
Diaw (23' pen.), Capuano (32' og.), Falcinelli (64'), Tremolada (68')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Favilli (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa1283122111127
2SassuoloSassuolo1274124121225
3SpeziaSpezia12660168824
4Cesena125342018218
5Cremonese125341816218
6Juve StabiaJuve Stabia124531313017
7Brescia125251617-117
8Palermo124441210216
9Sampdoria124351615115
10BariBari122821311214
11CatanzaroCatanzaro12282119214
12Reggiana123451113-213
13Carrarese123451113-213
14Salernitana123451316-313
15Mantova123451115-413
16SudtirolSudtirol124171419-513
17Cittadella12336617-1112
18Cosenza CalcioCosenza123631011-111
19Modena122551619-311
20FrosinoneFrosinone12165717-109


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