Serie B | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
3 - 0
Ternana

Mulattieri (38'), Insigne (54'), Garritano (72')
Boloca (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Proietti (12'), Diakite (22')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Frosinone and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Frosinone
Sunday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ternana

All competitions

Last Game: Ternana 0-3 Como
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 16.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Ternana
61.5% ( 5.6)	21.83% ( -1.68)	16.68% ( -3.92)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

1.26)

47.78% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

1.15)

69.97% (

-1.15)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

2.35)

15.03% (

-2.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

4.27)

43.51% (

-4.27)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

-3.73)

41.91% (

3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.65% (

-3.42)

78.35% (

3.41)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 61.49%

Ternana 16.68%

Draw 21.83%

Frosinone	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 1.16) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.22) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.79) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.49%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.43) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.91) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.87) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.68%