Serie B | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 1
Ascoli

Balogh (18'), Coulibaly (25'), Sohm (68'), Zagaritis (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gondo (62' pen.)
Buchel (9'), Caligara (52'), Gondo (63'), Falasco (68'), Giovane (79'), Giovane (79+79'), Giovane (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Parma
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Ascoli
49.81% ( -0.04)	26.27% ( 0.09)	23.93% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

-0.36)

56.39% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.29)

77.4% (

0.29)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-0.16)

22.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.25)

56.37% (

0.25)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-0.24)

39.07% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-0.23)

75.78% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Parma 49.8%

Ascoli 23.93%

Draw 26.26%

Parma	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.93%