Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.