Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pordenone Calcio win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.