Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.