Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.