Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crotone would win this match.