Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Perugia win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.