Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.