Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.