Brescia

1 - 3

Empoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.