Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
