Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.