Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
