Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match.