Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.66%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.