Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Albacete win it was 1-0 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.