Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 42.08%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.