Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Castellon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Castellon |
| 48.84% | 27.96% | 23.2% |
| Both teams to score 42.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% | 82.17% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.12% | 60.87% |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% | 43.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.45% | 79.55% |
| Score Analysis |
Ponferradina 48.83%
Castellon 23.2%
Draw 27.95%
| Ponferradina | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.93% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.01% Total : 23.2% |
