Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano4 - 0Malaga
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benkhemassa (45+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Malaga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Malaga |
| 48.19% | 28.9% | 22.91% |
| Both teams to score 39.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
