Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 42.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Cartagena
42.8% ( -0.02)	29.8% ( 0.26)	27.4% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 40.64% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.07% (

-0.86)

65.93% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.47% (

-0.6)

84.53% (

0.6)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

-0.45)

30.67% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

-0.54)

66.92% (

0.54)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.63% (

-0.71)

41.37% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11% (

-0.63)

77.88% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 42.79%

Cartagena 27.39%

Draw 29.8%

Amorebieta	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.79%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.8%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.39%